01
Blended QB grade · ZQuarterbacks
ATL—
GB0.44
ATL · Michael Penix Jr.: 0 current dropbacks. Blended grade unavailable. GB · Jordan Love: 78 current dropbacks. 39.0% current / 61.0% prior-season baseline.
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/ THE NUMBERSIndependent. Game specific.Final Line and Projected Score are independent models.
Our Final Line and Projected Score come from two separate models.
The Final Line is our official handicap number, built from our team power ratings, home field and game-specific adjustments. The Projected Score comes from an independent offense-vs-defense scoring model that estimates the points scored by each team and its own implied margin.
Because they measure the game differently, the numbers will not always match. We do not average them. Our official side recommendations are based on the Final Line, while the Projected Score is used as an independent cross-check and game-flow estimate.
Both current model outputs are required to compare their expected margins.
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Independent score model
No qualifying player prop for this game.
The market sees GB -4.5.
Our number sees ATL -3.0.
The Power Line begins at ATL -3.0. The current Final Line awaits complete, current inputs. Any official release remains on the permanent record. When available, the numbers above identify a projection saved at the official release.
The matchup adjustments do not add an edge for Packers. Their offensive efficiency and the opposing pass defense, compared below, frame the challenge.
The matchup adjustments do not add an edge for Falcons. Their offensive efficiency and the opposing pass defense, compared below, frame the challenge.
Two teams. The same measures. QB grades blend current performance with the prior-season baseline; other measures show current-season production.
ATL · Michael Penix Jr.: 0 current dropbacks. Blended grade unavailable. GB · Jordan Love: 78 current dropbacks. 39.0% current / 61.0% prior-season baseline.
Current-season passing efficiency; higher is stronger.
Protection meets pressure. Blocking meets resistance.
Unit grades are standard deviations from league average; higher is stronger. Meters use a shared −3 to +3 scale. Grade advantage compares unit profiles and does not add points to our line.
Jack Strand · QB · Coach's Decision — Out
Cooper Rush · QB · Coach's Decision — Out
Robert Longerbeam · CB · Coach's Decision — Out
Ethan Onianwa · OT · Coach's Decision — Out
Malcolm DeWalt IV · CB · Coach's Decision — Out
Jacob Monk · C · Undisclosed — Questionable
Edgerrin Cooper · LB · Head — Questionable
Anthony Campbell · DT · Ankle — Out
Jayden Reed · WR · Neck — Out
Zach Bako-Bewele · OT · Knee — Out
Power Line ATL -3.0. Final Line Unavailable. Score Model Unavailable. These independent views are not averaged.
Opening spread GB -7.5 → current -4.5. Opening total 46.5 → current 42.5.
Neutral ratings: ATL -1 / GB -6. Home field 2.1. Side adjustment 0.
Schedule and injuries: espn. Retrieved Sep 27, 3:40 PM ET.
Market: DraftKings. Retrieved Unavailable ET. Numbers may have moved.
ATL: 2026 efficiency sample through week 2.
GB: 2026 efficiency sample through week 2.
Share of offensive plays generating explosive gains.
Current-season pass defense; lower allowed EPA is stronger.