Coverage research does not replace the game’s selected Player to Watch. No official player-prop recommendation.
2025 BASELINE / 2026 CURRENT · FULL HISTORICAL PROFILE
PLAYER-SCOUTING-V1 · COMBINED
2025 team(s): BAL · 2026: BAL · Team changed: NO
CURRENT ROLE: UNCERTAIN · QB role determined by current depth chart: prior 0.0% / current Unavailable.
2026 usage wins; a ten-percentage-point change flags expansion/reduction.
Metric
2025 baseline (sample)
2026 current (sample)
Combined
Regressed
League
Quality
yards per pass attempt
8.497 (300)
10.352 (54)
8.780
8.404
7.073
HIGH
EPA per rush
0.409 (58)
0.678 (8)
0.442
0.194
-0.011
MEDIUM
yards per carry
6.190 (58)
9.625 (8)
6.606
5.454
4.504
MEDIUM
rushing TD / carry
0.034 (58)
0.125 (8)
0.045
0.040
0.036
MEDIUM
dropback Success Rate
0.464 (366)
0.561 (66)
0.479
0.475
0.457
HIGH
rush Success Rate
0.552 (58)
0.750 (8)
0.576
0.495
0.429
MEDIUM
explosive rush rate
0.259 (58)
0.500 (8)
0.288
0.221
0.112
MEDIUM
EPA per dropback
0.061 (366)
0.258 (66)
0.091
0.083
0.046
HIGH
Full route counts, target-per-route, YPRR, alignment and directly observed single-high/two-high shells remain unavailable. Validated 2025 target-based coverage splits are shown separately; current 2026 coverage frequencies remain unverified.
Rates use targets, carries, dropbacks or receptions as labeled by metric; Success Rate = positive EPA. Historical skill carries forward; historical opportunity does not override current role.
PERFORMANCE BY COVERAGE — 2025
Targets and receiving efficiency from validated participation/PBP joins. Historical skill is separate from current opportunity.
DATA INSUFFICIENT — no validated historical target split.
HIGH: 30+ targets; MEDIUM: 20–29; LOW: 10–19, research only; INSUFFICIENT: under 10, no matchup claim. Routes, target-per-route, YPRR and alignment are unavailable.
