Coverage research does not replace the game’s selected Player to Watch. No official player-prop recommendation.
2025 BASELINE / 2026 CURRENT · FULL HISTORICAL PROFILE
PLAYER-SCOUTING-V1 · 2025
2025 team(s): MIN · 2026: MIN · Team changed: NO
CURRENT ROLE: STABLE · target share: prior 15.6% / current 21.4%.
2026 usage wins; a ten-percentage-point change flags expansion/reduction.
Metric
2025 baseline (sample)
yards per reception
8.588 (51)
receiving yards per target
6.636 (66)
EPA per rush
-1.107 (1)
yards per carry
0.000 (1)
average depth of target
4.985 (66)
receiving TD / target
0.045 (66)
rushing TD / carry
0.000 (1)
target Success Rate
0.500 (66)
rush Success Rate
0.000 (1)
explosive rush rate
0.000 (1)
catch rate
0.773 (66)
EPA per target
0.214 (66)
red-zone target rate
0.167 (66)
depth · deep · receiving yards per target
29.000 (2)
explosive reception rate
0.059 (51)
depth · short · receiving yards per target
6.265 (49)
depth · behind · receiving yards per target
5.500 (8)
depth · intermediate · receiving yards per target
4.143 (7)
Full route counts, target-per-route, YPRR, alignment and directly observed single-high/two-high shells remain unavailable. Validated 2025 target-based coverage splits are shown separately; current 2026 coverage frequencies remain unverified.
Rates use targets, carries, dropbacks or receptions as labeled by metric; Success Rate = positive EPA. Historical skill carries forward; historical opportunity does not override current role.
PERFORMANCE BY COVERAGE — 2025
Targets and receiving efficiency from validated participation/PBP joins. Historical skill is separate from current opportunity.
Coverage
Targets
Receptions
Yards
YPT
Regressed YPT
Overall baseline
Overall Delta
Sample Quality
MAN
20
16
119.00
5.95
6.38
6.80
-0.43
MEDIUM
ZONE
46
35
319.00
6.93
6.90
6.80
0.09
HIGH
COVER 2
22
16
155.00
7.05
6.93
6.80
0.13
MEDIUM
COVER 1
15
13
107.00
7.13
6.95
6.80
0.14
LOW
COVER 6
2
1
6.00
3.00
6.46
6.80
-0.35
INSUFFICIENT
COVER 3
17
14
117.00
6.88
6.84
6.80
0.04
LOW
COVER 0
1
1
5.00
5.00
6.72
6.80
-0.09
INSUFFICIENT
COVER 4
4
4
41.00
10.25
7.38
6.80
0.57
INSUFFICIENT
HIGH: 30+ targets; MEDIUM: 20–29; LOW: 10–19, research only; INSUFFICIENT: under 10, no matchup claim. Routes, target-per-route, YPRR and alignment are unavailable.
