Coverage research does not replace the game’s selected Player to Watch. No official player-prop recommendation.
2025 BASELINE / 2026 CURRENT · FULL HISTORICAL PROFILE
PLAYER-SCOUTING-V1 · 2026
2025 team(s): MIN · 2026: MIN · Team changed: NO
CURRENT ROLE: STABLE · target share: prior 15.6% / current 21.4%.
2026 usage wins; a ten-percentage-point change flags expansion/reduction.
Metric
2026 current (sample)
yards per reception
9.286 (7)
receiving yards per target
7.222 (9)
EPA per rush
Unavailable (0)
yards per carry
Unavailable (0)
average depth of target
5.444 (9)
receiving TD / target
0.111 (9)
rushing TD / carry
Unavailable (0)
target Success Rate
0.556 (9)
rush Success Rate
Unavailable (0)
explosive rush rate
Unavailable (0)
catch rate
0.778 (9)
EPA per target
0.716 (9)
red-zone target rate
0.222 (9)
depth · deep · receiving yards per target
Unavailable (0)
explosive reception rate
0.000 (7)
depth · short · receiving yards per target
5.750 (4)
depth · behind · receiving yards per target
3.500 (2)
depth · intermediate · receiving yards per target
11.667 (3)
Full route counts, target-per-route, YPRR, alignment and directly observed single-high/two-high shells remain unavailable. Validated 2025 target-based coverage splits are shown separately; current 2026 coverage frequencies remain unverified.
Rates use targets, carries, dropbacks or receptions as labeled by metric; Success Rate = positive EPA. Historical skill carries forward; historical opportunity does not override current role.
PERFORMANCE BY COVERAGE — 2025
Targets and receiving efficiency from validated participation/PBP joins. Historical skill is separate from current opportunity.
Coverage
Targets
Receptions
Yards
YPT
Regressed YPT
Overall baseline
Overall Delta
Sample Quality
MAN
20
16
119.00
5.95
6.38
6.80
-0.43
MEDIUM
ZONE
46
35
319.00
6.93
6.90
6.80
0.09
HIGH
COVER 2
22
16
155.00
7.05
6.93
6.80
0.13
MEDIUM
COVER 1
15
13
107.00
7.13
6.95
6.80
0.14
LOW
COVER 6
2
1
6.00
3.00
6.46
6.80
-0.35
INSUFFICIENT
COVER 3
17
14
117.00
6.88
6.84
6.80
0.04
LOW
COVER 0
1
1
5.00
5.00
6.72
6.80
-0.09
INSUFFICIENT
COVER 4
4
4
41.00
10.25
7.38
6.80
0.57
INSUFFICIENT
HIGH: 30+ targets; MEDIUM: 20–29; LOW: 10–19, research only; INSUFFICIENT: under 10, no matchup claim. Routes, target-per-route, YPRR and alignment are unavailable.
